Tropical Storm Formation in the Caribbean Could Reach the U.S.

Tropical Storm Formation in the Caribbean Could Reach the U.S.
Reported by AccuWeather
Details Here

Meteorologists at AccuWeather have indicated that a tropical storm is likely to form in the Caribbean within the next few days, potentially developing into a hurricane before threatening the U.S. coastline.

Since October 21, AccuWeather meteorologists have been monitoring the Caribbean due to the likelihood of storm formation.

Current projections suggest a named storm could develop within the next four days, potentially impacting the U.S. Gulf Coast by the end of next week or during the second weekend of November.

Regardless of its development, heavy rains and thunderstorms are expected in the Caribbean.

Tropical Storm Formation in the Caribbean Could Reach the U.S.

Storms in the Caribbean could organize into a named system in the first days of November. https://t.co/yRxXuOOpt6 pic.twitter.com/dfpxZrir4A

— AccuWeather (@accuweather) November 1, 2024

Water temperatures in the region remain warm enough to encourage tropical activity, and wind shear levels are currently low.

AccuWeather’s chief meteorologist, Bernie Rayno, stated, “The most likely area for tropical development would be over the western and central Caribbean, with the timeframe for development between Saturday and Tuesday.”

There is speculation that the storm could originate near the northern islands of the Caribbean, possibly around Jamaica.

Meteorologists have labeled this area as high-risk for development over the past ten days.

Experts Warn About These Types of Tropical Storms

Tropical storm formation in the Caribbean could reach the US — Tropical Storm Formation in the Caribbean Could Reach the U.S. – Photo: Shutterstock

Depending on the system’s path, it might avoid large land areas like Cuba and the Yucatán Peninsula and become the next hurricane of the 2024 Atlantic season.

Rayno added that the trajectory will depend on both the formation location and the movement of a low-pressure area in the jet stream, situated over 1,000 miles west of the U.S.

“If this low-pressure area shifts far enough east, it could pull the tropical system into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and toward southern Florida,” he explained.

Alternatively, if the low-pressure area remains further west, the system could cross the Yucatán Peninsula and enter the Gulf of Mexico, potentially threatening areas as far west as Louisiana or Texas.

Possibility of Tropical Storm Weakening Over Southern Mexico or Central America

There is also a chance it could continue westward and weaken over southern Mexico or Central America.

Tropical systems originating in the Caribbean during this time of year have taken highly curved paths in the past, such as Hurricane Mitch in 1998 and Tropical Storm Keith in 1988.

Notably, no tropical storm or hurricane has ever impacted Texas, Louisiana, or Mississippi during November and December, which would make this an unusual season.

The current hurricane season has been atypical, with events such as the early intensity of Beryl and a notable period of inactivity in August and September. So far, five named systems have impacted the U.S., along with an unnamed tropical storm that affected the Carolinas.

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