Risk of stagflation is rising in the U.S.

The risk of stagflation is rising in the US as inflation persists and employment begins to show signs of weakness.
This combination could directly affect household budgets, especially in Latino communities.
The second half of the year looks uncertain, and being prepared could make all the difference.

The US economy remains strong, according to the Federal Reserve, but beneath the surface, troubling signs are emerging.

Inflation continues to resist falling, and the labor market is starting to weaken—sparking concern among economists.

This phenomenon, known as stagflation, is characterized by stalled economic growth, high inflation, and rising unemployment.

And while not officially declared, many people are already feeling its effects.

Stagflation Risk in the United States

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned on May 7 that “the risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation appear to have increased.”

Although the unemployment rate remains low and inflation has decreased compared to last year, it is still far from the 2% target.

The most recent blow came from new tariff policies: prices rose, hiring froze, and consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in five years, according to the Conference Board.

For Latino families, this mix of high prices, stagnant wages, and less secure jobs makes budgeting even more difficult.

That’s why understanding how to prepare for stagflation is essential to protect yourself from its harshest effects:

Pay off high-interest debt: Credit cards are the most dangerous during uncertain times.
Build or strengthen your emergency fund: Having liquid savings can prevent you from falling into worse debt during an unexpected event.
Avoid panic buying: If you think something’s about to get more expensive, ask yourself if you truly need it before stocking up on unnecessary items.

“The risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation appear to have increased.”
— Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve (May 7)

According to the Conference Board’s April survey, consumer confidence plummeted to its lowest point in five years.

While a stagflation scenario hasn’t been officially confirmed, warning signs are piling up.

Retail sales rose in April as many consumers rushed to buy ahead of expected price increases due to tariffs.

The risk of stagflation is now on the table.

Inflation, unemployment, and uncertainty are shaping the economic landscape.

Preparing in advance can help soften the blow to your household budget.