Expert Who Predicted Conflict With Iran Issues New Warning About the U.S.

• Historian warns of US defeat
• US–Iran war escalates
• Analyst predicts prolonged conflict

According to ViveUSA, historian Jiang Xueqin has once again sparked debate after issuing a new warning about the conflict between the United States and Iran.

The specialist, who previously predicted Donald Trump’s electoral victory and the outbreak of war with Iran, now argues that the United States could lose the conflict.

His remarks come amid the ongoing military escalation in the Middle East.

Why it matters: The US-Iran war prediction made by the historian has gained attention on social media and in discussions about the future of the conflict between Washington and Tehran.

Expert warns of possible US defeat

“Expert who was right before about Trump now issues a troubling warning: ‘The United States is going to lose the war with Iran.’” 🇺🇸vs🇮🇷https://t.co/kpTSOh6sGt

— Vive USA (@Vive_USA) March 4, 2026

Jiang Xueqin shared his analysis in an interview with the news program Breaking Points.

According to his assessment, the current conflict could end unfavorably for the United States.

“I believe Iran has many more advantages over the United States,” the specialist said.

According to his analysis, the Persian nation has been preparing for a large-scale confrontation for years.

“This is a war of attrition between the United States and Iran, and the Iranians have been preparing for this conflict for 20 years,” he explained.

You may also be interested in: Alert! US Issues Strong Warning to Those Traveling to Mexico for Spring Break

He also pointed out that, from his perspective, the conflict has an ideological component for the Iranian government.

According to him, in the Iranian religious worldview the confrontation is seen as a war against what they call “the Great Satan.”

The historian argued that this narrative has influenced Iran’s strategic preparation.

Recent conflict may have strengthened Iran’s strategy

During the interview, Jiang Xueqin analyzed the background of the current conflict.

According to him, a key episode was the 12-day war that took place in June of last year.

That conflict included Israeli bombings with support from the United States.

Among those attacks were strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities.

For the specialist, that episode allowed Iran to evaluate the military capabilities of its adversaries.

“Last June there was a 12-day war in which the Iranians were able to examine the strike capabilities of both the Israelis and the Americans,” he said.

He also noted that this period gave Iran time to prepare for future confrontations.

According to his analysis, the country had roughly eight months to strengthen its strategy.

Strategy based on economic and military attrition

Jiang Xueqin also said that Iran may not be relying solely on a traditional war strategy based on large military strikes.

According to his analysis, the strategy would focus on weakening the global economy.

The historian suggested that attacks could target not only US military bases.

They could also target energy infrastructure and desalination plants in countries belonging to the Gulf Cooperation Council.

According to his explanation, these facilities are essential for the region’s water supply.

The analyst stated that about 60% of the water in Gulf countries comes from desalination plants.

He also warned that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz could severely affect global trade.

According to his analysis, a large portion of the world’s oil passes through that route.

He also noted that around 90% of the food consumed by Gulf Cooperation Council countries travels through that corridor.

The specialist also criticized the US military strategy.

He argued that using high-cost missiles to intercept cheaper drones could become unsustainable in a prolonged conflict.

According to his analysis, the military model developed by the United States after World War II is not designed for today’s asymmetric conflicts.

In that context, he said the war could become a major strategic challenge for Washington.

The historian also suggested that a regime change in Iran could not be achieved solely through airstrikes.

According to his explanation, such a scenario could increase pressure to deploy ground troops.

Jiang Xueqin is recognized in academic circles in China, Canada, and the United States.

He studied English literature at Yale University and has worked for more than ten years as a teacher in Asia.

In addition to his education at Yale, he specializes in Western history and philosophy and has worked as a writer and political adviser.